Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Odds: Who Is Favored To Win?
The Nuggets are currently favored by 1.5 points, meaning they will have to win by two or more in order to cover the spread. The Warriors covered in the first game, while the Nuggets covered in the second. Who will cover the spread on March 29?
And remember that you can take advantage of CO sportsbook promos to boost your payroll while betting on the game as well.
This will be the third meeting of the season between the teams, as the Warriors took the first game 137-131 at home, before the Nuggets won 129-104 at their house.
After this contest, their final regular-season meeting will take place on March 30, 2026, when the Warriors again visit Ball Arena to face the Nuggets. There is, of course, always a chance these teams meet in the playoffs.
Latest Nuggets vs. Warriors Odds, Updates, & News
The Nuggets will play the Warriors three times this season.
- 📆 Oct 23: The Nuggets open their season on the road against the Warriors at Chase Center and fell 137-131.
- 📆 Nov 7: The Nuggets destroyed the Warriors 129-104 in the home game.
- 📆 Mar 29: The Nuggets will host the Warriors in the final regular-season game between the teams.
What The Nuggets-Warriors Spread Tells Us
Golden State being favored by 1.5 tells us that the oddsmakers believe this will be a close game from the get go. Keep in mind that while this Nuggets team is good, it's still not the same exact lineup that won the Nuggets NBA championship in the 2023-23. season, but Jokic, Murray, and Gordon remain from that team and are still really good.
What The Nuggets-Warriors Moneyline Tells Us
The moneyline gives a disadvantage to both sides, with the Nuggets at -108 and the Warriors at -112. What this means is that both teams have strong chances to win, and the oddsmakers would not be surprised if either wins. Because of the home-court advantage, the Warriors have a slight advantage. That could change when the teams meet again on March 29, 2025.
Nuggets' Chances To Win vs Warriors
The Nuggets currently have a 51.9% chance of outright winning the game against the Warriors at the Ball Arena Likewise, they have a 54.9% chance of covering the spread, indicating that oddsmakers are incredibly torn about this game.
How The Denver Nuggets Win vs the Golden State Warriors
Strengths:
Formula No. 1 for every Nuggets game is having Nikola Jokic do his thing as the primary scorer, often the primary ballhandler, and as a beast on the board. The diversity of his game opens things up for Murray to be a secondary creator, and for Cameron Johnson and Aaron Gordon to get their points within the flow of the offense. But offense is only half of the game.
Bruce Brown is back, and is one of the top defenders in the game who could defend anyone within the 1-4 range. He brings back the versatility the Nuggets lacked when they let him go a few seasons ago. Additionally, Jokic plays a pivotal role and is always protecting the paint.
Weakness:
The only main weakness could be coaching. David Adelman is their head coach after taking over from Michael Malone. How he uses his rotations could factor into how this game will go. Keep an eye on how he maximizes his bench, and how much he plays Nikola Jokic.
How The Golden State Warriors Win vs the Denver Nuggets
Strengths: Curry remains the centerpiece of this offense even as he hits the twilight of his career. He remains a major threat to hit shots from beyond the arc. Of course, Jimmy Butler is capable of making plays on the offensive end.
The defense got better with the addition of Al Horford, who will be protecting the rim and providing excellent veteran depth. Despite not having much size, the Warriors are great on the boards.
Weaknesses: Who's going to counter Jokic? Horford is a capable center, but can he make the plays needed to beat the All-Star center?? Draymond Green is one of the best defenders in the NBA, but he also can lack discipline sometimes, which can throw the Warriors into disarray. They need to figure out how to win the small battles and prevent Jokic and Murray from taking over.
List of Warriors vs. Nuggets Prop Bets Available
Prop bets for this game will be posted on the day of the game, and different Colorado online sportsbook apps have different rules about parlaying two or more prop bets from the same game. Colorado sports bettors have more options than gamblers in almost every other state, so shop around for a book that has bucked the industry trend and has loosened parlay rules rather than tightened them.
Nuggets vs. Warriors Player Props
| Nikola Jokic | Triple-Double |
| Steph Curry | Made 3-Pointers |
| Jamal Murray | Assists |
| Christian Braun | Steals |
| Jimmy Butler | Double-Double |
Here are some player props you can bet on for this game. Keep in mind that there are numerous choices to make, and some you can always make different selections.
If the sportsbook like ESPN BET Colorado does not accept multiple player prop picks from one game, find a Nuggets-Warriors prop that you like and put it together with another game on the schedule.
History of Nuggets vs. Warriors Games
The Nuggets took two of three games last season, including a 114-105 win at the Chase Center. But the Warriors won the other game in San Francisco by a score of 118-104. Overall, the Nuggets have gone 8-2 in their past 10 games against the Warriors.
Recapping the Last Warriors vs. Nuggets Matchup
The Warriors snapped a nine-game losing streak against the Nuggets, finally winning 118-104 on April 4, 2025. A big second quarter helped the Warriors grab the lead and they never surrendered it. Stephen Curry led the way with 36 points, while Brandin Podziemski added 26.
Nuggets Record vs Golden State Warriors
The Nuggets lead the head-to-head series 109-86.
Last 10 Nuggets vs. Warriors Scores
| Date | Home Team | Winner | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 7, 2025 | Nuggets | Nuggets | W 129-104 |
| Oct. 23, 2025 | Warriors | Warriors | L 137-131 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Warriors | Warriors | L 118–104 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Nuggets | Nuggets | W 114–105 |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Nuggets | Nuggets | W 119–115 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Nuggets | Nuggets | W 119–103 |
| Jan 4, 2024 | Nuggets | Nuggets | W 130–127 |
| Dec 25, 2023 | Nuggets | Nuggets | W 120–114 |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Nuggets | Nuggets | W 108–105 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Nuggets | Nuggets | W 112–110 |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Nuggets | Nuggets | W 134–117 |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Nuggets | Nuggets | W 128–123 |
Top Nuggets vs. Warriors Games of All-Time
As mentioned above, this is not a traditional rivalry. In fact, it is very rare for two teams who have been in the same conference for nearly five decades to have met only twice in the postseason.
Game 1: April 27, 2022.
In Game 5 of the first-round series between the teams, Curry scored 11 points during the fourth quarter after the Warriors began the final 12 minutes down by eight. They closed out the series with a 102-98 victory.
Game 2: April 24, 2022.
With the Warriors poised to pull off a sweep in Denver, the Nuggets stayed alive as Jokic hit Will Barton for a crucial 3-pointer with eight seconds left. The Nuggets were still down 3-1, but the prior season they had become the first team in NBA history to successfully come back from two 3-1 defricits.
Game 3: March 7, 2022.
In his second consecutive MVP season, Jokic had a triple-double (32 points, 15 rebounds, 13 assists) for the second time in as many nights in a game that had been postponed months earlier because eighth members of the Nuggets had tested positive for COVID-19.
Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors FAQ:
The Warriors are currently favored to win the next game by 1.5 points against the Denver Nuggets on March 29, 2025, when the teams meet at the Ball Arena. Oddsmakers believe this will be a close game that goes down to the very wire.
The next Nuggets-Warriors game will take place on Friday, March 29, 2025, at the Chase Center. It will be the Nuggets' third game against the Warriors after winning 129-104 in the last game between the teams, as they hope to win the series.
Every sports gambler is entitled to choose a favorite, and we counsel finding a sportsbook that allows multiple player prop picks from the same game in a multi-leg parlay. Some options include DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more.
Nearly two dozen online sportsbooks are operating in Colorado, so there are plenty of choices. You can always find the one that makes the most sense to you and gives you the options you seek for the bets you wish to make.
The Nuggets are 110-82 against the Golden State Warriors all-time. Recently, they have gone 8-2 in their past 10 games against the Warriors, displaying dominance uncommon against Curry and his crew, and will look to add to that number again.
Author
Chris Sheridan is a veteran NBA Writer who has been covering the league since 1992, with a specialty in international basketball after being credentialed for every Olympics since 1996-Atlanta. He has been writing in the sports gambling journalism space since PASPA was overturned in 2018, and age 58 he still can drain the 3-pointer and can dunk with the help of a ladder.
