Starting QB For Denver Broncos 2024: Odds of Denver’s Week 1 Starter

Starting QB For Denver Broncos 2024: Odds of Denver’s Week 1 Starter
Fact Checked by Michael Peters

It sure seems like the Denver Broncos are going to need to find a new starting quarterback this offseason, with their current veteran QB on the outs with second-year coach Sean Payton and a new era taking flight along the Front Range.

The Russell Wilson next team odds currently favor Pittsburgh rather than Denver. Wilson’s time with the Broncos would end with an 11-19 record as the team’s starter in which the 12-year pro threw for 6,594 yards, 42 touchdowns and 19 interceptions, but finished with an average approximate value of 10.5, down from the 15.8 AV he averaged in Seattle.

Ahead of the 2024 NFL Draft in Detroit, it’s worth wondering whether Payton will use the Broncos’ top pick on a quarterback, sign a free agent or simply decide to ride with backup Jarrett Stidham.

At the moment, Field Yates of ESPN and the various beat writers at The Athletic have the Broncos taking Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy with their lone first round pick, which would allow them to bring in a player that threw for 6,226 and 49 touchdowns in three seasons in Ann Arbor. Colorado sports betting sites list USC quarterback Caleb Williams as an overwhelming -1200 favorite to go with the top pick in the draft.

To get a sense of where Denver goes next under center, broke down the odds on which QB will suit up for the Broncos in Week 1 of the NFL regular season this September, with internal and external candidates standing tall on our list.

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Denver Broncos 2024 Starting QB Odds

QuarterbackOddsPercent Chance
Jarrett Stidham (Broncos)+17536.4%
J.J. McCarthy (NFL Draft)+70012.5%
Bo Nix (NFL Draft)+80011.1%
Jameis Winston (Free Agent)+10009.1%
Michael Penix Jr. (NFL Draft)+12007.7%
Gardner Minshew (Free Agent)+12007.7%
Russell Wilson (Broncos)+15006.2%
The Field+90010.0%
Odds provided by and not available at Colorado betting apps.

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Who Replaces Russell Wilson in Denver?

Right now, Wilson’s backup from a year ago (Jarrett Stidham) is our odds-on leader to be Denver’s starting QB in 2024, at +175, with the former Auburn signal caller beating out McCarthy (+700) and fellow draft prospect Bo Nix of Oregon (+800).

External candidates to replace Wilson include NFL veteran Jameis Winston, who is listed at +1000 after New Orleans decided against re-signing the former Heisman Trophy winner out of FSU. Former Indianapolis Colts QB Gardner Minshew comes in at +1200.

Wilson himself isn’t shut out from consideration, with the longtime NFL starter sitting at +1500 to return to Denver in 2024.

McCarthy is currently the fourth ranked QB in this year’s draft class on Yates’ board, behind Williams of USC, LSU’s Jayden Daniels and Drake Maye of UNC — who are mocked to go 1, 2, 3 to Chicago, Washington and New England.

Williams and Daniels are the last two Heisman winners, while Maye threw for more than 8,000 yards with 63 touchdowns in 30 games, named the 2022 ACC Offensive Player of the Year and ACC Player of the Year.

Nix was the Pac-12 offensive player of the year in 2023 with the Ducks, throwing for 4,508 yards and 45 touchdowns (to three interceptions) in 14 games. He wrapped up his five-year college career with the Ducks and Auburn with 15,352 passing yards, 113 touchdown passes and 38 scores on the ground.

bet365 Colorado lists San Francisco as the Super Bowl favorite at +500, followed by back-to-back champion Kansas City at +700. The Broncos are +10000.

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Christopher Boan has been covering sports and sports betting for more than seven years, including stops at, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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